The Buffalo Bills played arguably their most complete game of the season to improve to 7-3 and maintain their position as the top Wild Card seed in the AFC. Josh Allen, similarly, played arguably his most complete game of the year in the 37-20 victory over the suddenly-awakened Miami Dolphins. Allen was 21 of 33 through the air, going for 256 and three touchdowns. He was neither picked nor sacked and fashioned a career-high quarterback rating of 117.7. Allen accounted for the Bills other touchdown as well with an eight-yard TD run.
The Bills entered the game as 6.5 point favorites, having lost the previous week to the Browns, and having played a far-closer-than-expected game with the Dolphins in Week 7; they beat the spread and the over of 40.5. Wideout John Brown exploded for his best game of the season, snagging nine passes for 137 yards and two TDs. Rookie Devin Singletary ran for 75 yards on 15 carries, but he also fumbled twice, although neither was lost; veteran Frank Gore chewed up 27 yards on 11 carries. The Bills scored on their first four possessions, building a 16-point lead while holding the Dolphins in check and forcing punts on their first three possessions.
After a second-quarter score brought the game to 16-7, Miami pulled an onside kick recovery from their bag of tricks and looked to march down the shortened field. Allen Hurns promptly coughed up the ball following replay-reversed 20-yard completion, and corner Jordan Poyer recovered for the turnover. Two minutes later, Allen found Dawson Knox for a 23-yard TD and a 23-7 lead. Miami’s Jakeem Grant took the ensuing kickoff 101 yards back to the house and tighten the score at the half.
Buffalo doubled up Miami in the second half, scoring twice and allowing another score. The Bills defense stiffened in the fourth quarter, turning over the Dolphins on downs twice in their own territory. The run defense was outstanding all game, allowing only 23 yards on the ground, notably after having been gashed by Cleveland the week before. The D sacked Ryan Fitzpatrick seven times but allowed him 323 yards through the air. Kicker Stephen Hauschka returned to form with three FGs after a subpar game the previous week.
Bills Odds See Them as Favorites Against Bottom Feeder Broncos
With the Patriots’ victory in Philadelphia, the odds for a Buffalo AFC East championship lengthened to +2500. A surging Baltimore helped to stretch the Buffalo odds for an AFC championship to +4200. Looking at the overall picture—and the one Bills fans are most concerned about at the moment—the Bills odds to make the playoffs are squarely in their favor’ they are -164 to make the playoffs and now +120 to miss the playoffs.
Next up for the Bills is a visit from the 3-7 Denver Broncos. Rookie QB Brandon Allen is slated to make his third NFL start and has completed less than 50% of his throws. The famed Denver defense is seventh-ranked in the NFL. The Bills odds place them as a -4 favorite with a -205 Bills money line. The Bills over/under is 37.5 at -110.